Four games on the slate today:
SMU (19-8, 10-4) at South Florida (20-5, 13-1); 12pm (espn2)
Florida Atlantic (21-6, 11-3) at Memphis (19-8, 8-5); 2pm (ESPN)
Temple (9-17, 2-11) at Wichita State (11-16, 3-11); 4pm (ESPN)
UAB (17-9, 9-4) at Tulane (13-2, 4-9); 4pm (espn2)
Shout out to Rice who is my team that could surprise in the conference tournament and wreck someone's post season's hopes- they have won 4 of 7 with wins at Memphis and UAB. Here are my updated rankings heading in Sunday's play, along with each team's remaining schedule and expected regular season record based on FPI:
Tournament Bound
1. South Florida (20-5, 13-1); NET: #91 - with remaining games against SMU, at Charlotte, Tulane and at Tulsa, FPI projects the Bulls to win the AAC Regular Season Championship with a record of 22-7 and 15-3 in conference, and would leave the USF needing to win the conference tournament to get into the NCAAT; the lowest NET ranked team to get into the NCAAT was Rutgers in 2022 with a NET of #77, but had 6 Quad 1 wins (ironically Rutgers had a NET of #40 a year later and 10 Quad 1 wins and were left out, so go figure).
2. Florida Atlantic (21-6, 11-4); NET #32 - with remaining games at Memphis, Tulane at North Texas and Memphis again, FPI projects the Owls to win out and finish at 25-6 and 14-4; this would likely push USF's home win against FAU back into Quad 1 territory.
On the Bubble
3. SMU (19-8, 10-4); NET: #40 - with remaining games at South Florida, UTSA, East Carolina and at UAB, FPI projects the Mustangs to win out and finish at 23-8 and 14-4; this would put both SMU into the opposite of the conference tournament bracket for the Bulls
4. Memphis (19-8, 8-6); NET: #81 - with remaining games against FAU, at East Carolina, UAB and at FAU, FPI projects the Tigers to finish at 21-10 and 10-8; with an internal investigation looming this could be Memphis' way of pushing Penny Hardaway out and would be a tragic end to a once promising season that had Memphis ranked as high as #10 in the country just 5 weeks ago
NIT Bound
5. Charlotte (17-10, 11-4); NET: #104 - with remaining games South Florida, Rice and at East Carolina, FPI projects the 49ers to win out and finish 20-10 and 14-4; due to tiebreakers with Charlotte and SMU this would put the Owls into the USF side of the bracket
6. UAB (17-9, 9-4); NET: #125 - the Blazers have 5 remaining games at Tulane, Wichita State, at Memphis, at Temple and SMU; FPI projects UAB to finish at 19-12 and 11-7
Post Season Possible
7. North Texas (14-12, 7-7); NET: #87 - with remaining games at Tulane, East Carolina, Florida Atlantic and at Rice, FPI projects the Mean Green to finish 16-14, and 9-9
Second Division
8. East Carolina (14-13, 7-7); NET: #175 - with remaining games against Memphis, at North Texas, at SMU and Charlotte, FPI projects the Pirates to lose out and finish 14-17 and 7-11
9. Tulsa (14-13, 5-10); NET: #193 - with remaining games at UTSA, at Temple and South Florida, FPI projects the Golden Hurricane to finish 15-15, 6-12
10. Rice (11-16, 5-9); NET: #200 - with remaining games against Temple, at Wichita State, at Charlotte and North Texas, FPI projects the Owls to finish 12-19 and 6-12
11. Tulane (13-12, 4-9); NET: #132 - with remaining games against UAB, North Texas, at Florida Atlantic, at South Florida and Wichita State, FPI projects the Green Wave to finish 16-14, 7-11
12. Wichita State (11-16, 3-11); NET: #156 - with remaining games against Temple, at UAB, Rice and at Tulane, FPI projects the Shockers to finish 13-18 and 5-13
13. UTSA (9-19, 3-12); NET: #276 - with remaining games against Tulsa, at SMU and Temple, FPI projects the Road Runners to finish 10-21, 4-14
14. Temple (9-17, 2-11); NET: #244 - with remaining games at Wichita State, at Rice, Tulsa, UAB and at UTSA, FPI projects the Owls to finish 10-21 and 3-15
If NET holds true (and there are still some toss up games), this would be the American Athletic Conference Tournament seedings and schedule:
1. USF 15-3
2. SMU* 14-4 - wins tiebreaker with 1-0 record against USF
3. Charlotte* 14-4 - wins tiebreaker with 1-1 record against USF
4. FAU* 14-4 - loses tiebreaker with 0-1 record against USF
5. UAB 11-7
6. Memphis 10-8
7. North Texas 9-9
8. East Carolina 7-11 - wins tiebreaker with 1-0 record against Tulane
9. Tulane 7-11
10. Tulsa 6-12 - wins tiebreaker with 2-0 record against Rice
11. Rice 6-12
12. Wichita State 5-13
13. UTSA 4-14
14. Temple 3-15
*SMU, Charlotte and FAU projected to finish the season with a 1-1 record against each other, moving to second tiebreaker
Wednesday, March 13th:
Game 1: #13 UTSA vs. #12 Wichita State; 1pm (ESPN+)
Game 2: #14 Temple vs. #11 Rice; 3pm (ESPN+)
Thursday, March 14th:
Game 3: #9 Tulane vs #8 East Carolina; 12:30pm (ESPNU)
Game 4: #13 UTSA/#12 Wichita State winner vs. #5 UAB; 2:30pm (ESPNU)
Game 5: #10 Tulsa vs. #7 North Texas; 7:00pm (ESPNU)
Game 6: #14 Temple/#11 Rice winner vs. #6 Memphis; 9:00pm (ESPNU)
Friday, March 15th:
Game 7: #9 Tulane/#8 East Carolina winner vs. #1 South Florida; 1pm (espn2)
Game 8: Game 4 winner vs. #4 Florida Atlantic; 3pm (espn2)
Game 9: #10 Tulsa/#7 North Texas winner vs. #2 SMU; 7pm (ESPNU)
Game 10: Game 6 winner vs. #3 Charlotte; 9pm (ESPNU)
Saturday, March 16th:
Semi-final: Game 7 winner vs. Game 8 winner; 3pm (espn2)
Semi-final: Game 9 winner vs. Game 10 winner; 5pm (espn2)
Sunday, March 17th:
Championship Game: Game 11 winner vs. Game 12 winner; 3:15pm (ESPN)
All Conference First Team
David Jones, Mem (F) - Player of the Year
PJ Haggerty, Tulsa (F) - Freshman of the Year
Johnell Davis, FAU (G)
Kevin Cross, Tulane (F)
Jason Edwards, North Texas (G)
All Conference Second Team
RJ Felton, East Carolina (G)
Max Fiedler, Rice (F)
Hysier Miller, Temple (G)
Travis Eeve, Rice (G)
Vladislav Goldin, FAU (C)
All Conference Third Team
Colby Rogers, Wichita State (G)
Zhuric Phelps, SMU (G)
Eric Gaines, UAB (G)
Chris Youngblood, USF (G)
Yaxel Lendeborg, UAB (F) - moved up