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FOOTBALL Week 4: American Athletic Conference Bowl Predictions

brybull1970
Here are my predictions for where the American teams go bowling this year. The AAC has 3 bowl ties and will fill another 4 where they have secondary tie-ins:

I think the NY6 bid will be either Fresno State or Air Force out of the Mountain West
  • Military Bowl - Tulane vs. ACC
  • Fenway Bowl - Memphis vs. ACC
  • Hawaii Bowl - SMU vs. Mountain West
  • Boca Raton Bowl - South Florida vs. Army or Group of 5
  • New Mexico Bowl - Tulsa vs. Mountain West
  • First Responder Bowl - UTSA vs. ACC, Big 12 or PAC 12
  • Frisco Bowl - North Texas vs. Army or Group of 5
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OT: Troubles at ECU

Russ Wood
ECU is 0-3 after opening the season with losses to No. 2 Michigan (expected), losing at home to Marshall 31-13 and then losing to Appalachian State 43-28.

Their AD sent this letter to fans:

Pirate Nation,

As you know, East Carolina Football competes in Division 1A – the highest level of athletic competition within the NCAA. Our participation in this highly competitive environment requires high levels of resources and high levels of preparation.

We expect high levels of performance – both on and off the field.

At ECU, our investment of resources in our Football program also comes with high expectations for sustainable success. Our Donors and Fans share our high expectations. In fact, our recent back-to-back bowl games has only elevated our expectations.

While our Administrators, Staff, Coaches, and Student-Athletes work tirelessly, with each striving to do their job, our season is off to a disappointing start.

Our Fans and Donors have every right to be concerned – and I have shared with our Athletic Leadership Team that those concerns are an expression of your own expectations of our Football program.

I assure you that no one wants success more than Coach, his Staff, and our Student-Athletes. They are taking every measure to produce a product on the field that meets those expectations.

I remain confident and supportive in Coach Houston and our Football program. I have shared with Coach that as a department, we remain focused on striving for excellence in all facets of our operations. We acknowledge that our competitive success is the sum of our parts.

I know Coach Houston and our entire Athletic Leadership Team remain committed and focused on success.

As always, thank you for your investment and for your support of our Athletic Department. It was inspiring to see the amount of purple and gold in the stands at our first two road games.
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FOOTBALL One Third of the Season is Gone...

brybull1970
Hard to believe the season is one-third over - here is where we stack up on a few key stats (source: Team Rankings excludes games against FCS schools):

Top Decile
  • #3 in Rushing Yards per game (238 ypg)
  • #11 in Yards per Game (467 ypg)
Top Quartile
  • #27 in Sacks per game (3.0 spg)
  • #33 in Rush Yards per attempt (4.8 ypa)
Top Half
  • #46 in Rush Yards allowed per game (111 ypg)
  • #51 in Yards per Pass attempt (7.6 ypa)
  • #66 in Passing Yards per Game (229 ypg)
  • #66 in Rush Yards allowed per attempt (3.9 ypa)
Bottom Half
  • #69 in Yards allowed per Pass attempt (7.6 ypa)
  • #76 in Scoring Offense (23.0 ppg)
  • #81 in Scoring Defense (29.0 ppg)
Bottom Decile
  • #122 in Pass Yards allowed per game (311 ypg)
  • #128 in Turnover Margin per game (-1.7 pg)
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Rice (-2.5) at South Florida

brybull1970
No need to over think this one - the difference is JT Daniels who ranks 30th nationally in Passing Efficiency while Byrum Brown ranks 136th. The Bulls defense, while improved, still ranks 98th in FBS is yards allowed. Rice will have enough offense to cover the field goal.

2023 Record: 1-2
  • South Florida at Western Kentucky (-13) WIN
  • Florida A&M at South Florida (-20.5) LOSS
  • Alabama (-34) at South Florida LOSS
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Bowling

S.Kurian
I think the defense that played on Saturday is good enough to go bowling.
The offense? Meh.

We need 5 wins in 9 games to bowl. 5 games are on the road and college road games for most teams, much less mediocre ones, are tough.
Our last road win was October 26, 2019, against ECU.
@Navy, @UAB, @UConn, @Memphis, @UTSA. We'll need to steal 1, maybe 2 if we lose a home game, on the road.

I think that makes all 4 remaining home games must wins.
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