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HOOPS Around the American (Feb. 5 - 11)

brybull1970

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Nov 30, 2020
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Light schedule in the AAC today:

Temple (8-13, 1-7) at Tulane (12-9, 3-6); 4PM ESPNU
UAB (14-7, 6-2) at SMU (14-7, 5-3); 6pm espn2

As AAC teams begin beating up on each other I think only 1 team gets into the NCAA tournament, baring an FAU upset in the conference tournament. Here are my updated rankings heading into today's game:

NCAA Tournament Bound

1. Florida Atlantic (18-4, 8-1); NET: #25
- Owls are 3-1 in Quad 1 games this season which include wins against Arizona (NET: #3), Butler (#48) and Butler (#49); FAU plays 4 of their next 6 on the road which include traveling to UAB, South Florida and Memphis

On the Bubble

2. SMU (14-7, 5-3); NET: #46
- Mustangs are barely on the bubble and are 1-6 in Quad 1 & 2 games with their best win at Florida State (#94); SMU's last 6 losses are by a combined 22 points, including an 8-point loss to Wisconsin (#13) and a 2-point loss to Dayton (#17); Owls only have on more chance at a Quad 1 game but have possibly 4 Quad 2 games left to strengthen their resume

NIT Bound

3. South Florida (15-5, 8-1); NET: #106
- Bulls and Princeton are the only D1 teams, with a NET of 106 or better, not to have a Quad 1 game this season and South Florida may only have the chance at one when FAU (#25) visits in two weeks; It's hard to ignore a team that has won 13 of their last 14 but their best win this season is against a fading Memphis (#80) team

4. Charlotte (14-7, 8-1); NET: #95 - 49ers are 1-3 in Quad 1 games with their best win coming at home against FAU (#25); Charlotte has a very favorable schedule down the stretch with 6 of their remaining 9 games against teams with a losing conference record; the 49ers own the tie-breaker against the Owls and a win Tuesday night at USF would give them the inside track to the regular season title

5. Memphis (16-6, 5-4); NET: #80 - the Tigers' last second win against last-place Wichita State to end a 4 game losing streak likely did little to quell the concerns; Memphis is 1-1 in Quad 1 games with their best win being at Texas A&M (#49), however they have up to 3 remaining Quad 1 games that could help get them back onto the bubble - two games against FAU (#25) and a road game at SMU (#46); The Tigers have played 9 non-conference games against P5+Big East schools.

Post Season Possible

6. North Texas (12-6, 5-1); NET: #71
- the Mean Green have lost 4 of 5 and after starting the conference season 4-0; North Texas is 0-4 against Quad 1 teams and have up to 2 more Quad 1 games remaining - at home against FAU (#25) and at SMU (#46); The Mean Green's best win this season was a 2-point win at home against SMU.

7. UAB (12-7, 4-2); NET: #131 - the Blazers currently sit alone in 4th place in the AAC standings; UAB is 0-2 in Quad 1 games but could add 2 more in their next 2 games was they travel to SMU (#46) today and host FAU (#25) - a split in those games could give the Blazers a chance to shoot up the standings as they should be the favorite in their following 5 games; UAB's best win this season was a neutral court win against Maryland (#78)

8. Tulane (12-8, 3-6); NET: #115 - the Green Wave have lost 4 of 5 and are 0-6 in Quad 1 & 2 games; the schedule makers did Tulane no favors as they have home-and-home series against the four schools in the AAC with the best current NET - FAU (#25), SMU (#46), North Texas (#71) and Memphis (#80)

Second Division

9. Tulsa (12-9, 3-6); NET: #180
- after starting conference play 0-4 the Golden Hurricane have won 3 of their last 4

10. East Carolina (11-12, 4-6); NET: #197 - the Pirates are 0-6 against teams with a winning conference record, but are 4-0 against teams with a losing conference record; the good news for ECU is they now play 4 in a row against teams with a losing conference record

11. Rice (9-13, 3-6); NET: # 211 - with road wins against Memphis and UTSA the Owls have won 3 conference road games in arow; Rice is now winning the close games they were losing earlier this year when they lost 3 other conference games by single digits

12. Wichita State (9-13, 1-8); NET: #153 - 5 of the Shockers' 8 conference losses have been by single digits

13. UTSA (8-14, 2-7): NET: #279 - like Wichita State, 5 of the Road Runners' 8 conference losses have been by single digits

14. Temple (8-13, 1-7); NET: #252 - the Owls, one of the worst shooting teams in D1 have two remaining games against UTSA, one of the worst defensive teams in D1, in a battle of the moveable object vs. the stoppable force


I'll update the All-Conference Team in next week's update (2/11).
 
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