The term "mid-major" has become all encompassing of schools that are not part of the P4+Big East, so here is a quick snapshot of the Top 100 of this group in NET Rankings. The bubble will be much smaller this year with 14 teams from the SEC currently ranked inside the Top 50 of the NET Rankings. Last year 8 mid-major teams received an at-large bid, while it was only 5 in 2023.
Lock for NCAAT
12. Gonzaga (17-7)
24. St. Mary's (19-4)
Should Be In If They Don't Win Their Conference Tournament
37. VCU (18-5) - no Quad 1 wins
40. New Mexico (18-4) - 9-2 in Quad 1/2 games
41. Utah State (20-3)
44. Memphis (19-4) - 5-2 in Quad 1 games
On The Bubble
48. Boise State (16-7) - cannot afford any more losses; only 4-6 in Quad 1/2 games
50. San Diego State (14-5)
52. UC-San Diego (17-4)
54. Santa Clara (16-9) - cannot afford any more losses, but win at Gonzaga is elevating their profile
56. UC-Irvine (19-3) - gaudy record boosted by 4-1 record in Quad 1/2 games
58. Drake (19-2) - off to a better start than last year's NCAAT team
59. North Texas (14-6) - AAC is weak this year hurting chances
61. Oregon State (16-7)
64. San Francisco (18-6) - only 4-6 in Quad 1/2 games
68. McNeese (15-6) - 6 losses already and 1-4 in Quad 1/2 games makes NET ranking questionable
69. George Mason (17-5) - currently in 1st place in the A-10, but resume is soft
Waving From the Stands
190. South Florida (11-11)
- WCC a lock for 2 teams, but league could steal a 3rd bid if Santa Clara makes it the championship game or another team wins it outright (unlikely as top heavy as the WCC is this year)
- Mountain West likely to only get 3 teams this year after flopping with 6 teams in last year's NCAAT
- American likely a one-bid league unless Memphis doesn't win the conference tournament
- A-10 could get 2 teams in with VCU and a George Mason team that has won 16 of its last 18 (2/22 match up looms large)
- Unlikely Big West gets 2 teams in but have whoever doesn't win the conference tournament between UC-Irvine and UC-San Diego will have a good argument
Lock for NCAAT
12. Gonzaga (17-7)
24. St. Mary's (19-4)
Should Be In If They Don't Win Their Conference Tournament
37. VCU (18-5) - no Quad 1 wins
40. New Mexico (18-4) - 9-2 in Quad 1/2 games
41. Utah State (20-3)
44. Memphis (19-4) - 5-2 in Quad 1 games
On The Bubble
48. Boise State (16-7) - cannot afford any more losses; only 4-6 in Quad 1/2 games
50. San Diego State (14-5)
52. UC-San Diego (17-4)
54. Santa Clara (16-9) - cannot afford any more losses, but win at Gonzaga is elevating their profile
56. UC-Irvine (19-3) - gaudy record boosted by 4-1 record in Quad 1/2 games
58. Drake (19-2) - off to a better start than last year's NCAAT team
59. North Texas (14-6) - AAC is weak this year hurting chances
61. Oregon State (16-7)
64. San Francisco (18-6) - only 4-6 in Quad 1/2 games
68. McNeese (15-6) - 6 losses already and 1-4 in Quad 1/2 games makes NET ranking questionable
69. George Mason (17-5) - currently in 1st place in the A-10, but resume is soft
Waving From the Stands
190. South Florida (11-11)
